200 to 400
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Power Of 10

The Graph below show the range of predicted times for the 400m using an athlete's best 200m time.  It is calculated from a formula derived by watching top Athletes at the Rome World Championships 1987 and Seoul Olympics 1988.  There is a table below with the raw data from which the graph is drawn and the ranges cover the times expected of very good Young Athletes in the age range 10 to 16 years.  It only applies to fully trained young Athletes at the peak of their ability and should only be viewed in context of their Coach's ability, facilities and time of the year.

The table below has the raw data from which the graph above was drawn.  Should you wish to extrapolate the data to cover other times the formulae are as follows:

The 1st Half Split is 96% of the Best 200m time
The 2nd Half worst is the 1st Half plus 2 seconds
The 400m Best is the sum of the two halves, minus 1 second, minus 1% of the 200m Best
The 400m Worst is the sum of the two halves

200m

400m split

400m range

Best Time

1st Half

2nd Half worst

Best

Worst

22.00

23.16

25.16

49.10

50.32

22.20

23.37

25.37

49.51

50.74

22.40

23.58

25.58

49.93

51.16

22.60

23.79

25.79

50.35

51.58

22.80

24.00

26.00

50.77

52.00

23.00

24.21

26.21

51.19

52.42

23.20

24.42

26.42

51.61

52.84

23.40

24.63

26.63

52.03

53.26

23.60

24.84

26.84

52.45

53.68

23.80

25.05

27.05

52.87

54.11

24.00

25.26

27.26

53.29

54.53

24.20

25.47

27.47

53.71

54.95

24.40

25.68

27.68

54.12

55.37

24.60

25.89

27.89

54.54

55.79

24.80

26.11

28.11

54.96

56.21

25.00

26.32

28.32

55.38

56.63

25.20

26.53

28.53

55.80

57.05

25.40

26.74

28.74

56.22

57.47

25.60

26.95

28.95

56.64

57.89

25.80

27.16

29.16

57.06

58.32

26.00

27.37

29.37

57.48

58.74

26.20

27.58

29.58

57.90

59.16

26.40

27.79

29.79

58.31

59.58

26.60

28.00

30.00

58.73

60.00

26.80

28.21

30.21

59.15

60.42

27.00

28.42

30.42

59.57

60.84

27.20

28.63

30.63

59.99

61.26

27.40

28.84

30.84

60.41

61.68

27.60

29.05

31.05

60.83

62.11

27.80

29.26

31.26

61.25

62.53

28.00

29.47

31.47

61.67

62.95

28.20

29.68

31.68

62.09

63.37

28.40

29.89

31.89

62.51

63.79

28.60

30.11

32.11

62.92

64.21

28.80

30.32

32.32

63.34

64.63

29.00

30.53

32.53

63.76

65.05

29.20

30.74

32.74

64.18

65.47

29.40

30.95

32.95

64.60

65.89

29.60

31.16

33.16

65.02

66.32

29.80

31.37

33.37

65.44

66.74

30.00

31.58

33.58

65.86

67.16

 

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